2026年2月8日

米消費者物価統計を前に世界株高

cscambodia511 mins

米連邦準備制度理事会の今年最後の会合に向けた基調となりそうな、重要な米インフレ報告を前に、火曜日は世界的に株価が上昇した。

S&P500種株価指数先物は0.1％上昇し、ダウ平均は0.2％近く上昇した。

ドイツのDAXは0.2％高の16,833.57、パリのCAC40は0.4％高の7,601.56となった。ロンドンのFTSE100は0.8%上昇し7,602.45となった。

火曜日、国家統計局は11月の英国の賃金上昇率が過去2年間で最も大幅に鈍化し、それに伴い求人数も減少したと発表した。このデータは、高い借入コストのためにインフレが落ち着いてきていることを示すものであり、木曜日に行われるイングランド銀行の利上げ決定に役立つ可能性がある。

アジア市場では、東京の日経平均は0.2％高の32,843.70となった。火曜日に発表されたデータによると、11月の日本の卸売物価は前年同月比0.3％上昇し、この3年間で最も低い上昇率となった。これは、中央銀行が超緩やかな金融政策を緩和するかどうかを検討している中、インフレ圧力が緩やかになっていることを示唆している。

香港のハンセンは1.1％高の16,374.50、上海総合は0.4％高の3,003.44だった。

中国の指導者たちは年に一度の経済会議を開催しており、火曜日には安定した成長に拍車をかけることを誓約して終了する予定だと伝えられている。

ソウルのコスピは0.4％高の2,535.27。オーストラリアのS&P/ASX200は0.5％上昇の7,235.30。

インドのSENSEXは0.3％下落、バンコクのSETは0.6％下落した。

月曜日、S&P500種株価指数は0.4％上昇し、20ヶ月ぶりの高値となった。ダウは0.4％上昇、ナスダックは0.2％上昇した。

S&P500種株価指数は20.4％上昇、ナスダックも0.2％上昇した。S&P500種株価指数は今年20.4％上昇、ナスダックは37.9％上昇した。

火曜日、政府は11月の消費者インフレ報告書を発表する。アナリストらは、インフレ率は10月の3.2％から3.1％へ減速を続けると予想している。

水曜日には、11月の卸売物価統計が発表される。

ウォール街は、米連邦準備制度理事会が2024年初頭まで基準金利を5.25％から5.50％の範囲に維持し、同年半ばまでに利下げを開始する可能性に賭けている。

「UBSのシニア・エコノミスト、ブライアン・ローズは投資家向けメモの中で、「インフレ率が予想を上回るスピードで低下していることから、米連邦準備制度理事会が追加利上げを控える可能性は高いと思われる。

「同時に、米連邦準備制度理事会がすぐに利下げを検討するには、インフレ率はまだ高すぎ、労働市場もまだひっぱくしている。」

今週はいくつかの大企業が決算を発表する予定であり、残り少ない決算発表の場となる。ソフトウェア会社のアドビは水曜日に、オリーブ・ガーデンを経営するダーデン・レストランツは金曜日に決算を発表する。

債券市場の国債利回りは総じて低下した。10年債利回りは4.23％から4.19％に低下した。10月の利回りは5％を超え、2007年以来の高水準だった。

エネルギー取引では、ニューヨーク・マーカンタイル取引所の電子取引で、米国の指標原油が40セント高の1バレル71.72ドルとなった。国際標準のブレント原油は38セント高の1バレル76.41ドル。

ドル円は146.16円から145.36円まで下落。ユーロは1.0763ドルから1.0793ドルに上昇した。

51 thoughts on “米消費者物価統計を前に世界株高”

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